{"id":132,"date":"2013-03-06T15:06:33","date_gmt":"2013-03-06T13:06:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=132"},"modified":"2013-03-06T15:06:33","modified_gmt":"2013-03-06T13:06:33","slug":"explicatie-posibila","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=132","title":{"rendered":"Explica\u0163ie posibil\u0103"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Un site de sondaje politice, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.notapublica.ro\/\">Nota Publica<\/a>, \u00ee\u015fi exprim\u0103 \u00een editorialul s\u0103u (vezi mai jos) nedumerirea fa\u0163\u0103 de rezultatele votului acordat celor mai cunoscu\u0163i politicieni rom\u00e2ni.<br \/>\nExplica\u0163ia dat\u0103 este, dup\u0103 p\u0103rerea mea, doar \u00een parte just\u0103.<br \/>\nSe \u015ftie doar, c\u0103 pentru a ob\u0163ine un vot valabil este nevoie de cel pu\u0163in trei useli\u015fti: unul care \u015ftie s\u0103 citeasc\u0103, unul care \u015ftie s\u0103 scrie, \u015fi unul care are grij\u0103 s\u0103 le spun\u0103 celor doi intelectuali cum s\u0103 voteze. \u00cenmul\u0163i\u0163i, deci, rezultatele politicienilor USL cu trei&#8230;<!--more--><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><small>PDL-i\u0219ti sau USL-i\u0219ti?<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e2nd nota primei persoane publice analizate \u00een urma cu 6 luni, pre\u0219edintele Traian B\u0103sescu, a \u00eenceput s\u0103 se stabilizeze \u00een jurul valorii de 66%, am \u00eenceput s\u0103 fim acuza\u021bi de PDL-ism.<\/p>\n<p>Cifra a fost \u0219i pentru noi o surpriz\u0103 major\u0103, \u00een contradic\u021bie clar\u0103 cu cifra de 7 milioane voturi contra de la referendumul care tocmai se \u00eencheiase. Am \u00eencercat sa g\u0103sim explica\u021bii: e\u0219antion nereprezentativ, \u00eentrebare \u00een\u021beleas\u0103 invers, vot exprimat gre\u0219it, etc. Pe m\u0103sur\u0103 ce se corectau poten\u021bialii factori de influen\u021b\u0103 (num\u0103r tot mai mare de voturi exprimate, clarificat \u00eentrebarea, ad\u0103ugat posibilitatea de schimbare a votului, etc), nota nu a sc\u0103zut ci, din contr\u0103, a continuat s\u0103 creasc\u0103 u\u0219or (azi e la 68%).<\/p>\n<p>Notele slabe ale urm\u0103toarelor persoane analizate, din tab\u0103ra USL (Victor Ponta &#8211; 31% \u0219i Crin Antonescu &#8211; 29%), nu au putut dec\u00e2t s\u0103 sporeasc\u0103 num\u0103rul de acuza\u021bii de PDL-ism primite.<\/p>\n<p>Nota relativ ridicat\u0103 a reprezentantei PDL Monica Macovei (58%) a pus \u0219i mai multe paie pe foc.<\/p>\n<p>A urmat C\u0103lin Popescu T\u0103riceanu, care a mai echilibrat oarecum balan\u021ba pentru USL cu nota destul de bun\u0103 (55%).<\/p>\n<p>Notele lui Emil Boc (61%) \u0219i Elena Udrea (64%) ne-au aruncat mai mult \u00een tab\u0103ra PDL-i\u0219tilor sau pro-b\u0103si\u0219tilor, conform mesajelor primite pe e-mail sau pe pagina de Facebook de la simpatizan\u021bi USL.<\/p>\n<p>Cu Vasile Blaga din tab\u0103ra PDL s-a cam spart tiparul, nota acestuia stabiliz\u00e2ndu-se (dup\u0103 destul de pu\u021bine voturi exprimate) \u00een jurul valorii de 22%. Nu putem dec\u00e2t s\u0103 \u00eei mul\u021bumim domnului Blaga c\u0103 ne ajut\u0103 s\u0103 ne sus\u021binem impar\u021bialitatea \u0219i s\u0103 avem replic\u0103 pentru cei care ne acuz\u0103 \u00een continuare de PDL-ism!<\/p>\n<p>Mai \u00een glum\u0103, mai \u00een serios, modul \u00een care s-a votat pentru Vasile Blag\u0103 ne ajut\u0103 sa tragem 2 concluzii:<\/p>\n<p>    Nota slab\u0103 ob\u021binut\u0103 comparativ cu ceilal\u021bi lideri PDL ne \u00eencurajeaz\u0103 s\u0103 credem c\u0103 cet\u0103\u021benii voteaz\u0103 totu\u0219i persoana, nu partidul. Cel pu\u021bin pe site-ul nostru, la urne e alt\u0103 poveste!<br \/>\n    Nota slab\u0103 \u0219i interesul sc\u0103zut (num\u0103rul mic de voturi exprimate) ale lui Vasile Blaga, \u00een compara\u021bie cu interesul ridicat suscitat de lideri charismatici cum sunt Traian B\u0103sescu sau Elena Udrea, par s\u0103 confirme axioma care spune c\u0103 o reclam\u0103 ajut\u0103 chiar \u0219i c\u00e2nd este o reclam\u0103 negativ\u0103. Dac\u0103 nu se vorbe\u0219te zilnic despre tine, nu contezi \u00een via\u021ba public\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>Sau, altfel exprimat:<\/p>\n<p>    Cet\u0103\u021benii voteaz\u0103 persoana, nu partidul, dac\u0103 op\u021biunile sunt clar definite.<br \/>\n    Cet\u0103\u021benii par s\u0103 voteze \u00een mare m\u0103sur\u0103 charisma unei persoane publice, nu doar presta\u021bia, competen\u021ba sau moralitatea acesteia.<\/p>\n<p>Bogdan Bart,<br \/>\nMembru fondator<br \/>\nAsocia\u021bia OPA<\/p>\n<p>26.02.2013<br \/>\n<\/small><\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Un site de sondaje politice, Nota Publica, \u00ee\u015fi exprim\u0103 \u00een editorialul s\u0103u (vezi mai jos) nedumerirea fa\u0163\u0103 de rezultatele votului acordat celor mai cunoscu\u0163i politicieni rom\u00e2ni. Explica\u0163ia dat\u0103 este, dup\u0103 p\u0103rerea mea, doar \u00een parte just\u0103. Se \u015ftie doar, c\u0103 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=132\">Continu\u0103 s\u0103 cite\u0219ti <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[8,14,17,19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-132","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general","category-oameni","category-politica","category-romania-in-lume"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9mZDH-28","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":806,"url":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=806","url_meta":{"origin":132,"position":0},"title":"SchadenfreudeA Vengefulness of the Impotent","author":"Mihai","date":"5 martie 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"Nu pot s\u0103 caracterizez articolele \u015fi glosele politice mai recente ale d-lui Dorin Tudoran, care apar at\u00e2t pe blogul domniei sale Certocra\u0163ia, c\u00e2t \u015fi pe platformele voxpublica sau Rom\u00e2nia Curat\u0103, f\u0103r\u0103 s\u0103 apelez la ajutorul cuv\u00e2ntului german \u201cSchadenfreude\u201d. Iar asta nu pentru a-mi etala cuno\u015ftin\u0163ele din aceast\u0103 limb\u0103, ci pentru\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u00cen \u201eDeutsche Erinnerungen \/ Amintiri din Germania\u201d","block_context":{"text":"Deutsche Erinnerungen \/ Amintiri din Germania","link":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?cat=2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3790,"url":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=3790","url_meta":{"origin":132,"position":1},"title":"Trio Tropa","author":"Mihai","date":"19 septembrie 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Dan Alexe, Andrei Caramitru, Adrian Papahagi: trei personaje roase de orgoliu, care declar\u0103 \u00een mod repetat c\u0103 se detest\u0103 reciproc, c\u0103 nu vreau s\u0103 aib\u0103 de-a face unul cu altul, dar cu toate acestea continu\u0103, spre desf\u0103tarea faunei a\u015fa zi\u015filor lor prieteni, o polemic\u0103 meschin\u0103 \u015fi anost\u0103. Toat\u0103 aceast\u0103 reprezenta\u0163ie\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u00cen \u201eGeneral\u201d","block_context":{"text":"General","link":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?cat=8"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/Screenshot_2019-09-19-Die-drei-Bettler-Deutsche-Digitale-Bibliothek-274x300.png?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":107,"url":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=107","url_meta":{"origin":132,"position":2},"title":"The Bach Family","author":"Mihai","date":"1 martie 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Mar\u0163i diminea\u0163a, \u00eenainte de a \u00eencepe conferin\u0163a, partenerul meu de cooperare din Graz m\u0103 \u00eentreab\u0103 dac\u0103 nu am chef s\u0103 merg seara la un concert de muzic\u0103 clasic\u0103. Amator \u00eenr\u0103it de jazz-rock cum sunt, nu prea \u00eemi d\u0103dea inima ghes. \u015etiam \u00eens\u0103 c\u0103 so\u0163ia sa c\u00e2nt\u0103 \u00een orchestr\u0103 la flaut,\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u00cen \u201eGeneral\u201d","block_context":{"text":"General","link":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?cat=8"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/scannen-296x300.jpg","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":87,"url":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=87","url_meta":{"origin":132,"position":3},"title":"Retardel se retrage? Tardiv!","author":"Mihai","date":"13 februarie 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"Dac\u0103 se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103 cumva s\u0103 nu \u015fti\u0163i cine e \u201eRetardel\u201d, face\u0163i o c\u0103utare prin Google cu acest cuv\u00e2nt cheie. Alege\u0163i-l din rezultatele c\u0103ut\u0103rii pe primul bloger, care afirm\u0103 despre o alt\u0103 persoan\u0103 c\u0103 acesta ar fi un \u201eretardel\u201d . Cine spune, \u0103la e! A\u0163i g\u0103sit? Aha ! \u015ei ce arat\u0103\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u00cen \u201eGeneral\u201d","block_context":{"text":"General","link":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?cat=8"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4466,"url":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=4466","url_meta":{"origin":132,"position":4},"title":"Penibilit\u0103\u0163i","author":"Mihai","date":"29 martie 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Chestia cu suportul pentru dou\u0103 steaguri, fixat pe fa\u0163ada fiec\u0103rei case, a ap\u0103rut \u00eenc\u0103 pe vremea lui Stalin, c\u00e2nd \u201epavoazarea\u201d caselor era, sub amenin\u0163area unor pedepse draconice, obligatorie. Pe vremea aceea erau impuse drapelele sovietic \u015fi rom\u00e2nesc. \u00cemi amintesc din acele timpuri cum noi, mama, tata, sor\u0103-mea \u015fi cu mine\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u00cen \u201eGeneral\u201d","block_context":{"text":"General","link":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?cat=8"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/Suport-steaguri-150x150.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":183,"url":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=183","url_meta":{"origin":132,"position":5},"title":"Rom\u00e2nia n-are nevoie de du\u015fmani externi","author":"Mihai","date":"26 ianuarie 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Autor: Mihai Washington Post constat\u0103 cam a\u015fa: Rom\u00e2nia, o \u0163ar\u0103 cu 19 milioane de locuitori, n-are du\u015fmani externi, dar are \u015fapte servicii de informa\u0163ii. Cu toate astea, nu poate g\u0103si un avion. Unul din cele \u015fapte servicii a investit 40 de milioane de euro \u00een sistemul de apelare de urgen\u0163\u0103\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u00cen \u201eGeneral\u201d","block_context":{"text":"General","link":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?cat=8"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/132","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=132"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/132\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=132"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=132"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=132"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}