{"id":2732,"date":"2018-02-20T14:30:00","date_gmt":"2018-02-20T12:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=2732"},"modified":"2018-02-21T08:51:33","modified_gmt":"2018-02-21T06:51:33","slug":"prognoza","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=2732","title":{"rendered":"Prognoz\u0103"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u00cen Germania, una dintre politicienele de \u00eencredere ale Angelei Merkel, \u015fi anume Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tagesschau.de\/inland\/kramp-karrenbauer-reaktionen-101.html\">a fost numit\u0103 recent<\/a> secretar general al CDU. Aceast\u0103 pozi\u0163ie este, de obicei, trambulina pentru a ob\u0163ine postul de Cancelar Federal al Germaniei. Eu cred, totu\u015fi, c\u0103 de data aceasta va fi altfel: s\u0103rmana Annegret nu are nici o \u015fans\u0103. Angela Merkel, numit\u0103 \u015fi \u201cCancelara de Teflon\u201d (pentru c\u0103 nici un scandal politic nu se lipe\u015fte de ea) sau \u201cV\u0103duva Neagr\u0103\u201d (pentru c\u0103 \u00ee\u015fi devoreaz\u0103, politic vorbind, partenerii \u015fi concuren\u0163ii), dar \u015fi (de c\u0103tre cei mai naivi) \u201cMutti\u201d sau \u201cAngie\u201d, va reu\u015fi, prin aceast\u0103&nbsp; numire, s\u0103-\u015fi asigure &#8211; \u00eenc\u0103 odat\u0103! &#8211; realegerea peste patru ani. Aceasta dintr-un motiv foarte simplu: \u00een momentul \u00een care conducerea CDU va discuta (\u00eempreun\u0103, sau, mai bine spus, \u00eempotriva CSU) propunerea unui candidat la postul de cancelar, Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer va fi exclus\u0103 din cauza numelui imposibil de pronun\u0163at, cel pu\u0163in pentru str\u0103ini. (De cinci ori litera R \u00eentr-un nume, oroare curat\u0103.) Ce surpriz\u0103! Nu numai surpriz\u0103, dar chiar \u015fi pe nea\u015fteptate! \u015ei atunci, cine va r\u0103m\u00e2ne, dac\u0103 al\u0163i posibili urma\u015fi ai Agelei Merkel nu au fost forma\u0163i \u015fi promova\u0163i \u00eentre timp? V\u0103 las s\u0103 r\u0103spunde\u0163i singuri\u2026<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"2734\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?attachment_id=2734\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/teflonmerkel-1.jpg?fit=263%2C239&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"263,239\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"teflonmerkel 1\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/teflonmerkel-1.jpg?fit=263%2C239&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-2734 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/teflonmerkel-1.jpg?resize=263%2C239\" alt=\"\" height=\"239\" width=\"263\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"2733\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?attachment_id=2733\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/merkel-scwarze-witwe-a.jpg?fit=1254%2C909&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1254,909\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"merkel scwarze witwe a\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/merkel-scwarze-witwe-a.jpg?fit=640%2C464&amp;ssl=1\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-2733 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/merkel-scwarze-witwe-a-300x217.jpg?resize=300%2C217\" alt=\"\" height=\"217\" width=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/merkel-scwarze-witwe-a.jpg?resize=300%2C217&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/merkel-scwarze-witwe-a.jpg?resize=768%2C557&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/merkel-scwarze-witwe-a.jpg?resize=1024%2C742&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/merkel-scwarze-witwe-a.jpg?w=1254&amp;ssl=1 1254w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00cen Germania, una dintre politicienele de \u00eencredere ale Angelei Merkel, \u015fi anume Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, a fost numit\u0103 recent secretar general al CDU. Aceast\u0103 pozi\u0163ie este, de obicei, trambulina pentru a ob\u0163ine postul de Cancelar Federal al Germaniei. Eu cred, totu\u015fi, &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=2732\">Continu\u0103 s\u0103 cite\u0219ti <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[2,8,6,14,1,17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2732","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-amintiri-din-germania","category-general","category-borituri","category-oameni","category-fara-categorie","category-politica"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/s9mZDH-prognoza","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":162,"url":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=162","url_meta":{"origin":2732,"position":0},"title":"Lacrimi de Grokodil","author":"Mihai","date":"16 decembrie 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"Ca s\u0103 \u00een\u0163elegem cuv\u00e2ntul \u201eGrokodil\u201c va trebui s\u0103 ne ocup\u0103m mai \u00eent\u00e2i de istoria \u015fi semnifica\u0163ia abrevierii \u201eGroko\u201c, care a fost aleas\u0103 \u00een acest an \u00een Germania drept cuv\u00e2nt al anului. Este foarte simplu: no\u0163iunea \u201eGro\u00dfe Koalition\u201c (\u201eMarea Coali\u0163ie\u201c) a fost, dup\u0103 alegerile din septembrie, at\u00e2t de des folosit\u0103, \u00eenc\u00e2t\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u00cen \u201eDeutsche Erinnerungen \/ Amintiri din Germania\u201d","block_context":{"text":"Deutsche Erinnerungen \/ Amintiri din Germania","link":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?cat=2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1747,"url":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=1747","url_meta":{"origin":2732,"position":1},"title":"Vin alegerile","author":"Mihai","date":"2 decembrie 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Dac\u0103 arunc\u0103m o privire pe lista partidelor politice din Rom\u00e2nia, surpriza e mare. Avem un singur partid \"de st\u00e2nga\", PSD, \u015fi unul de \"centru-st\u00e2nga\", UNPR (care \u00eentre timp a fost \u00eens\u0103 absorbit de PMP, un partid \"de dreapta\"). Restul sunt de \"dreapta\" sau \"centru-dreapta\". Pentru alegerile din 11.12.2016 s-ar putea\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u00cen \u201eGeneral\u201d","block_context":{"text":"General","link":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?cat=8"},"img":{"alt_text":"psdalde","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/12\/PSDAlde-300x225.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1627,"url":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=1627","url_meta":{"origin":2732,"position":2},"title":"Ru\u015fine, Germania!","author":"Mihai","date":"28 octombrie 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Institu\u0163ia german\u0103 BKA (Bundeskriminalamt) este confruntat\u0103 recent cu o nou\u0103 pan\u0103 criminalistic\u0103, legat\u0103, \u015fi de data aceasta, de analizele ADN. \u00cen urm\u0103 cu c\u00e2\u0163iva ani buni, poli\u0163ia german\u0103 a v\u00e2nat vreme \u00eendelungat\u0103 un delincvent fantom\u0103, care ap\u0103rea \u00een cele mai diferite localit\u0103\u0163i din Europa \u015fi \u00een cele mai neverosimile situa\u0163ii.\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u00cen \u201eDeutsche Erinnerungen \/ Amintiri din Germania\u201d","block_context":{"text":"Deutsche Erinnerungen \/ Amintiri din Germania","link":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?cat=2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":252,"url":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=252","url_meta":{"origin":2732,"position":3},"title":"Civism \u015fi politic\u0103","author":"Mihai","date":"15 noiembrie 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Sub acest titlu, echipa de voluntari care creeaz\u0103 DEX Online public\u0103 un text care ne arat\u0103 de ce se implic\u0103 \u00een procesul de formare a opiniei politice din Rom\u00e2nia. Recomand lectura acestui articol, care, dup\u0103 p\u0103rerea mea, nu necesit\u0103 comentarii. \u00cen campania electoral\u0103 actual\u0103, aceela\u015fi colectiv recomand\u0103 cititorilor s\u0103i s\u0103-l\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u00cen \u201eDeutsche Erinnerungen \/ Amintiri din Germania\u201d","block_context":{"text":"Deutsche Erinnerungen \/ Amintiri din Germania","link":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?cat=2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5252,"url":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=5252","url_meta":{"origin":2732,"position":4},"title":"Polarizare","author":"Mihai","date":"16 octombrie 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Faptul c\u0103 interdic\u0163ia accesului pelerinilor la racla Sfintei Parascheva de la Catedrala Mitropolitan\u0103 din Ia\u015fi este exploatat\u0103 politic de BOR nu este deloc o surpriz\u0103. Nu ne surprinde \u00een fond nici o luare de pozi\u0163ie a lui Adrian Papahagi \u00een aceast\u0103 privin\u0163\u0103, dar gravitatea acuza\u0163iilor pe care acesta le face\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u00cen \u201eGeneral\u201d","block_context":{"text":"General","link":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?cat=8"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/Catedrala-patriarhul-daniel-214x300.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":25,"url":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?p=25","url_meta":{"origin":2732,"position":5},"title":"Democratur\u0103 pe m\u0103sur\u0103","author":"Mihai","date":"24 decembrie 2008","format":false,"excerpt":"Am g\u0103sit azi int\u00e2mpl\u0103tor (printr-o c\u0103utare Google \u201eatins \u00een demnitate\u201d) acest articol de blog. Vi-l redau integral, dar anonimizat (c\u0103 altfel zice bloggerii \u0103\u015ftia a\u015fa-zis marii c\u0103 vrei s\u0103 \u201efaci trafic\u201d pe socoteala lor) \u015fi f\u0103r\u0103 nici un comentariu, cu toate c\u0103 m\u0103 st\u0103p\u00e2nesc foarte greu... (P\u0103i atunci nu mai\u2026","rel":"","context":"\u00cen \u201ePolitik \/ Politic\u0103\u201d","block_context":{"text":"Politik \/ Politic\u0103","link":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/?cat=17"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2732","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2732"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2732\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2741,"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2732\/revisions\/2741"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2732"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2732"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/paulmelian.de\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2732"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}